The Future of Coal in Utah
- more:- scenario framework
SCENARIO PLANNING PROCESS This plan presents four types of information based on their level of certainty and control: 1) market "facts", 2) key uncertainties, 3) future scenario, and 4) options. This study follows a scenario planning approach in order to account for complex issues, rate of change, and opposing perspectives on coals future. Scenario planning provides leader with information so they can come to their own conclusions.


The Center for Rural Life at Southern Utah University partnered with Carbon, Emery, Garfield, Millard, Sanpete, and Sevier Counties to commission the newly established Rural Planning Group to study the future of coal in Utah. Instead, this study follows a scenario planning approach in order to account for the complexity of the issues, the high rate of change, and the existence of opposing perspectives. This approach provides the flexibility necessary to enable local leaders to come to their own conclusions.
This project provides paths to follow, but also provides room to explore options and opportunities
QUESTIONS FOR FURTHER STUDY 1. What is the future of global coal pricing, and can Utah coal compete? 2. What is the likely implementation timeline for the EPA's new CO2 regulation--when taking into account the likelihood of litigation? 3. How does Utah coal compare chemically with coal from the globes top exporters? 4. What is the land usage comparison between solar, wind, and other renewable when compared with coal-fired plants? 5. What is the future of port capacity off the West Coast, and how will it affect Utah coal?